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Peace Processing

Ayalon pitches population swaps

Israel's deputy foreign minister, Danny Ayalon, thinks that Israeli Arab villages should be annexed by a future Palestinian state, in exchange for Israeli settlements in East Jerusalem and the West Bank.

Ayalon proposed the "population swaps" during a wide-ranging interview in London (عربي) with Al-Sharq Al-Awsat. Ayalon essentially argues that Israel's Arabs aren't full citizens, because (unlike Jews and Druze men) they're not subject to mandatory military service. So he proposes redrawing Israel's future borders to make those Arab villages a part of Palestine -- a move which would eliminate a demographic pressure on the Jewish state.

The Gilad Shalit Deal

The political risk for Netanyahu

One thing we haven't really discussed, amidst the latest round of rumors about a possible deal for Gilad Shalit's release, is the political ramifications of such a deal within Israel.

Shalit's plight has taken an outsized role in Israeli politics and public life, so his release, by itself, would give Netanyahu a big political boost. But there's a potential complication: If yesterday's press reports are accurate, Netanyahu will be releasing hundreds of Palestinian militants to secure Shalit's release.

Forcing Syria to choose sides

Yossi Beiditz, the IDF's senior intelligence official, testified before a Knesset committee today. I think his analysis of Syria's foreign policy gets it largely right.

"In the estimate of the IDF Intelligence Branch, should Syria encounter a dilemma in the [region] after a deal with Israel, it will be willing to cool off its ties with Iran, Hezbollah, and the Palestinian groups," he said.

Bashar al-Assad is playing both sides right now, using his ongoing relationship with Iran to win concessions from the West and from other Arab states. But that state of affairs can't continue indefinitely; a regional conflict would force Assad to choose sides. And with Iran going through political unrest and economic turmoil, Assad would probably choose the West.

EU's Stevenson alleges further voter fraud in Baghdad

Jumblatt to Assad: I'm sorry!

Petraeus: Israeli-Arab conflict endangering U.S. interests

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Fallout from Biden's visit: West Bank sealed off; proximity talks appear stalled

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas greets U.S. vice president Joe Biden in Ramallah. (Photo: AFP)
As Joe Biden wraps up his Middle East tour, Palestinian officials say they're unwilling to move forward with proximity talks unless Israel cancels its new construction in East Jerusalem; and the Israeli Defense Forces have sealed off the West Bank for 48 hours, reportedly for security concerns. Several people were injured and arrested in fighting at the Al-Aqsa mosque this morning.

Peace Processing

Biden arrives in Israel amid serious Palestinian doubts

Vice President Joe Biden and his wife arrived in Israel on Monday.
As Joe Biden lands in Israel, the Israeli government -- obviously keen to demonstrate that it's serious about restarting peace talks -- announced Monday that it will violate its West Bank settlement freeze and build 112 new homes in Beitar Illit, a settlement west of Bethlehem.

Iraqi Elections

Polls close in Iraq; media reports suggest strong turnout, relative calm

An Iraqi man on a bicycle displays his ink-stained finger after voting in Baghdad on March 7, 2010. (Photo: AP)
A handful of insurgent attacks around the country killed two dozen people, but Iraqi security forces seemed generally confident; the vehicle ban in Baghdad, scheduled to last all day, was lifted before noon. Anecdotal reports suggest a strong turnout across the country.