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Peace Processing

Fallout from Biden's visit: West Bank sealed off; proximity talks appear stalled

U.S. vice president Joe Biden is wrapping up his Middle East trip with a visit to Petra, in Jordan. A little sightseeing might be a welcome relief after a tumultuous week in Jerusalem and Ramallah.

The phrase "turning point" is grossly overused, but this week really feels like a watershed in the region -- and not at all in a good way. Few observers had high hopes for the Israeli-Palestinian proximity talks, but now even that modest dialogue appears off the table. The announcement that Israel is planning another 50,000 homes in East Jerusalem will poison any future talks: How can the Palestinian side negotiate when tens of thousands of illegal homes are considered non-negotiable?

Joe Biden's harsh condemnation of the new construction at Ramot Shlomo -- but the timing of the announcement still made the United States look weak and unwilling to confront Israel.

Nuclear Negotiations

Iran's nuclear program isn't about the Palestinians

I'm a big believer that solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will have ripple effects throughout the region. It will increase the chances of peace between Israel and its other neighbors (Lebanon and Syria); it will take away a major terrorist recruiting tool, and a distraction that oppressive regimes use to avoid discussing their own problems.

But when I hear things like this, from Jordan's King Abdullah, I cringe.

Jordanian lawmakers lose their perqs

We here in the United States have grown accustomed to seeing powerful people get what they want, no matter whether they're responsible for gross malfeasance or instigating national catastrophes (see: bonus payouts to the same bankers who helped set up our financial meltdown).

So even if this wonderful photo comes from Jordan, it still warms the cockles of my heart to see influence stripped from the powerful so bluntly and quickly.

The Black Iris on Abdullah and parliament

I'll be honest: We here at The Majlis don't follow Jordanian politics all that closely. So we're not even going to attempt an "analysis" of King Abdullah's decision to dissolve parliament and call for early elections. Instead, we're just going to point you to Naseem Tarawnah's analysis over at The Black Iris, which does a good job putting Abdullah's move in context.

Jordan's King Abdullah dissolves parliament

Jordan has a reputation for being, well, boring. One of my Egyptian friends once described it as "that place you move when you want to have a family," which makes it sound like an Arab version of New Jersey, minus Bayonne.

But today, for the first time that I can recall, there's some unexpected news out of Jordan: King Abdullah issued a decree dissolving parliament and calling for general elections two years ahead of schedule.

The outgoing parliament has been criticized in recent months for not really doing anything -- most MPs are loyal to Abdullah. The decision to dissolve parliament seems to have come as a surprise, though.

I'm sure dozens of reporters in Amman, having written nothing for years except silly travel pieces (Amman has restaurants! Nice ones!), are now scrambling to locate the phone number for parliament.

One last shot at two states

Jordan's King Abdullah, in an interview with the Italian daily La Repubblica, says Obama has a narrow window of opportunity in which to achieve an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal.

"By the end of 2010, if Israel doesn't believe in the two-state solution, the possibility of a future Palestinian state will disappear because of geographic reasons: already the land is fragmented into cantons," Abdullah added.

Stephen Walt makes a similar point in a blog post about Obama's likely foreign policy failures. Walt thinks a growing number of people will abandon any hope for a two-state solution.

Lieberman digs in

Avigdor Lieberman is not optimistic about the prospect of peace talks with the Palestinians. (In other news, the sun rose in the east today.)

He told Israel Radio today that anyone optimistic about a peace deal "doesn't understand the situation and is spreading delusions."

And his office is apparently drafting new foreign policy for Israel that anticipates it will not reach a permanent peace deal. The document was drafted by Naor Gilon, a Foreign Ministry official, and passed to Avigdor Lieberman yesterday.

It's important to note that Lieberman does not set the agenda for peace talks with the Palestinians. That comes out of the prime minister's office. But the policy document circulating at the foreign ministry might offer a useful indication of the conventional wisdom in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv.

EU's Stevenson alleges further voter fraud in Baghdad

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Petraeus: Israeli-Arab conflict endangering U.S. interests

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Biden arrives in Israel amid serious Palestinian doubts

Vice President Joe Biden and his wife arrived in Israel on Monday.
As Joe Biden lands in Israel, the Israeli government -- obviously keen to demonstrate that it's serious about restarting peace talks -- announced Monday that it will violate its West Bank settlement freeze and build 112 new homes in Beitar Illit, a settlement west of Bethlehem.

Iraqi Elections

Polls close in Iraq; media reports suggest strong turnout, relative calm

An Iraqi man on a bicycle displays his ink-stained finger after voting in Baghdad on March 7, 2010. (Photo: AP)
A handful of insurgent attacks around the country killed two dozen people, but Iraqi security forces seemed generally confident; the vehicle ban in Baghdad, scheduled to last all day, was lifted before noon. Anecdotal reports suggest a strong turnout across the country.

Iraqi Elections

Campaigning stops, voting starts; scattered violence in Baghdad, Mosul

Iraqi policemen show their ink-stained fingers after voting outside a polling station in Najaf, 100 miles south of Baghdad. (Photo: Reuters)
Iraq's campaign season wrapped up today, 48 hours ahead of the election, as soldiers and medical personnel voted early. Hundreds of thousands of soldiers and police will be on duty Sunday for the general election, when millions of Iraqis will vote at some 10,00 polling centers around the country (and abroad).