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Peace Processing

Biden arrives in Israel amid serious Palestinian doubts

U.S. vice president Joe Biden arrived in Israel on Monday ahead of a week-long trip to the Middle East. The Obama administration is billing this as a hugely important trip -- a chance to lay the groundwork for "proximity talks" between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, and also a chance to speak directly to the Israeli people. And indeed, the White House announced on Monday that both sides had agreed to the talks.

Peace Processing

Mitchell arrives in Ramallah amid doubts

President Obama's special envoy to the Middle East, George Mitchell, arrived in Ramallah last night to begin "pre-talks" to the "proximity talks" the United States hopes will occur between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, the National reports. You'll be hard pressed to find anyone who has much faith in their ultimate success.

Peace Processing

Arab League agrees to Israeli-Palestinian "proximity talks"

The Arab League -- meeting today in Cairo -- voted to endorse "proximity talks" between Israel and the Palestinian Authority. American mediators, presumably led by George Mitchell, will shuttle between Jerusalem and Ramallah.

Peace Processing

Reports: PA close to accepting "proximity talks"

The Palestinian Authority either accepted George Mitchell's proposal for "proximity talks," or is close to accepting, according to Israeli and Arab news outlets.

Ha'aretz reports today that Mahmoud Abbas "agreed in principle" to the talks, according to unnamed Palestinian sources. The talks will reportedly resume later this month, with Mitchell ferrying messages between negotiating teams in separate rooms.

Peace Processing

George Mitchell gets best supporting actor, too

Foreign Policy is holding a foreign affairs Oscar contest, and the editors are looking for ideas, so here's my nomination: The minds behind the Middle East peace process clearly deserve the award for best original screenplay.

Peace Processing

Abbas considering indirect talks with Israel

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas is considering George Mitchell's offer for "proximity talks" with Israel, and plans to issue a final response on Thursday, according to an interview with The Guardian.

Diplomacy With Damascus

Report: Obama chooses new ambassador to Syria

President Obama plans to appoint Robert Stephen Ford as the U.S. ambassador to Syria, according to a report (عربي) in An-Nahar.

George Mitchell, the Obama administration's Middle East envoy, reportedly told Syrian president Bashar al-Assad about the appointment during his visit to the region earlier this month. No word on how Assad reacted to the news.

Peace Processing

Walt: Mitchell should resign

We mentioned this in our weekly newsletter -- are you subscribed? -- but Stephen Walt posted an impassioned call for George Mitchell's resignation on his Foreign Policy blog. Walt argues that Mitchell was conned into accepting the Middle East envoy job by an Obama administration that claimed to be committed to solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

... he is wasting his time. The administration's early commitment to an Israeli-Palestinian peace was either a naïve bit of bravado or a cynical charade, and if Mitchell continues to pile up frequent-flyer miles in a fruitless effort, he will be remembered as one of a long series of U.S. "mediators" who ended up complicit in Israel's self-destructive land grab on the West Bank.

We've needled Mitchell for months -- we made our own frequent-flyer crack back in November -- but the truth is that, as Walt writes, Mitchell is only as good as the administration he represents. If Obama isn't willing to take serious (and politically difficult) steps towards brokering a peace deal, Mitchell is doomed to failure.

Peace Processing

Mitchell meets Netanyahu, Abbas; little progress

President Obama's Middle East envoy hasn't even left the region yet, and Israeli and Arab news sources have already declared his visit a failure.

Mitchell met for nearly three hours today with Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas. But Abbas refused to resume peace talks without a complete settlement freeze -- including East Jerusalem -- which Israel is unwilling to offer. Mitchell met yesterday with Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and defense minister Ehud Barak.

Obama, One Year Later

Obama: We set expectations too high on Middle East peace

Yesterday was President Obama's one-year anniversary in office, and so predictably we saw a rash of anniversary pieces (we thought about writing our own but decided to spare you).

Joe Klein's Time Magazine anniversary piece is based on a Jan. 15 interview with Obama. Most of it is focused on domestic politics -- but towards the end, they discuss the Middle East peace process, and Obama really tries to dial back expectations for progress in 2010. Excerpt after the jump (emphasis mine).

Peace Processing

Netanyahu: Israel to remain in West Bank after peace deal

If Benjamin Netanyahu and Mahmoud Abbas get their way, the borders of a new Palestinian state will be drawn without direct Palestinian involvement, and Israel will retain a military presence inside those borders.

No, seriously.

Peace Processing

Netanyahu rejects E. Jerusalem freeze offer

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas asked Israeli president Benjamin Netanyahu for an undeclared three-to-six-month settlement freeze in East Jerusalem, in exchange for a resumption of peace talks, according to Israeli and Palestinian media reports (عربي).

Bibi gets a slightly more pliant U.S. Congress

One of the worst things a journalist can hear from an editor is "find a local angle." Aluf Benn apparently got that order from his boss at Ha'aretz last night, because he went out to write about the Massachusetts Senate election (won by the Republican candidate, Scott Brown) and came back with this thesis:

Over the past nine months, Netanyahu has managed to curb pressure from Obama, who enjoys a Democratic majority in both houses of Congress. Now, however, Obama will be more dependent on the support of his Republican rivals, the supporters and friends of Netanyahu.

I guess I missed the year in which the Democratic Congress -- which is still Democratic, by the way, despite Brown's win -- exerted any kind of real pressure on the Netanyahu government. Let's take a look at AIPAC's 2009 legislative report, shall we?

Peace Processing

Abbas hints at final status talks

Ha'aretz ran an almost Onionesque headline yesterday: Mitchell to arrive in Mideast this week with no plan, no agenda.

That's not really an exaggeration, nor an attempt at humor. President Obama's Middle East envoy is headed back to the region for meetings with Israeli and Palestinian officials. He does so without any guarantees: Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas asked Mitchell to promise that Israel would totally freeze settlement-building, and Mitchell refused, because Israel hasn't approved anything of the sort.

Peace Processing

Arab-Israeli relations, in three quotes

If you just woke up from a year-long sleep and wanted to know the current state of the Arab-Israeli "peace process," these three quotes -- from three Israeli ministers -- pretty much sum up the situation.

Israel's foreign minister, Yuval Steinitz, said today that Israel doesn't need loan guarantees from the United States -- the same loan guarantees at the heart of George Mitchell's purported (and now, denied) threat to cut off foreign aid to Israel if the peace process remains stalled.

Peace Processing

Mitchell does the Middle East moonwalk

A senior Obama administration official has now denied to Yedioth Ahronoth that Middle East envoy George Mitchell threatened to cut off aid to Israel (a claim that was never terribly believable to begin with).

"It was not a threat and not an implied threat," the senior official told Ynet.

Other U.S. officials are also pushing back against Mitchell's remarks: Sens. John McCain, R-Arizona, and Joe Lieberman, I-Connecticut -- traveling in Jerusalem -- said today that Congress would never approve a reduction of aid to Israel.

Peace Processing

Did George Mitchell threaten to cut off Israeli aid?

There are reports this morning that George Mitchell, the Obama administration's Middle East envoy, threatened to cut off U.S. aid to Israel if the Jewish state blocks final status talks with the Palestinians. (The original source for these reports appears to be this Yedioth Ahronoth story.)

Certainly makes for a compelling headline -- but there's much less here than the headline suggests. If you read his remarks, Mitchell said only that the U.S. could, in theory, cut off aid to Israel. That's thoroughly uncontroversial! The question is whether the U.S. would cut off Israel.

If you think that's possible, then I have a bridge in Brooklyn I'd like to sell you.

Peace Processing

Stuck in the mud

George Mitchell, the Obama administration's Middle East envoy, is meeting in Washington today with Egyptian foreign minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit and Jordanian FM Nasser Judeh. They'll discuss the Obama administration's two-year timeline for final status talks, and the plan for "proximity talks" between Benjamin Netanyahu and Mahmoud Abbas.

We've written a lot over the last few weeks about settlements and peace talks and domestic politics in Israel and Palestine -- so I thought it would be useful to pull back a bit and summarize the current situation.

Peace Processing

IDF bombs Gaza after Palestinian mortar attacks

Remember all of that optimistic talk in the beginning of the week about restarting Israeli-Palestinian peace talks? Take it away, Al-Jazeera:

Israel has launched air strikes against at least seven targets in the Gaza Strip, killing one man and wounding two others, Palestinian medics say.

[...] The air raids came after Israel said a dozen mortar bombs and rockets were fired from the Hamas-run territory into Israel. No casualties were reported from those attacks.

Israeli jets dropped thousands of leaflets before the bombing, warning Gazans to stay away from the border. Israel also reportedly bombed three targets in Gaza City and two in the southern city of Khan Younis; Israeli media say the Gaza City target was a weapons factory.

Peace Processing

Mitchell offers guarded praise for Israel

If you print out the transcript of George Mitchell's press conference -- only his second of the year -- it's an 8-page document. Mitchell, remarkably, manages to say almost nothing in those eight pages, which perhaps helps to explain his longevity in official Washington.

That said, two observations. First: In his opening statement, Mitchell goes to great lengths to praise the Israeli government for its unilateral declaration of a partial 10-month settlement freeze.

But you can also see him straining to avoid language like "unprecedented," the word which prompted an international furor when secretary of state Hillary Clinton used it earlier this month.

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Peace Processing

Fallout from Biden's visit: West Bank sealed off; proximity talks appear stalled

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas greets U.S. vice president Joe Biden in Ramallah. (Photo: AFP)
As Joe Biden wraps up his Middle East tour, Palestinian officials say they're unwilling to move forward with proximity talks unless Israel cancels its new construction in East Jerusalem; and the Israeli Defense Forces have sealed off the West Bank for 48 hours, reportedly for security concerns. Several people were injured and arrested in fighting at the Al-Aqsa mosque this morning.

Iraqi Elections

Polls close in Iraq; media reports suggest strong turnout, relative calm

An Iraqi man on a bicycle displays his ink-stained finger after voting in Baghdad on March 7, 2010. (Photo: AP)
A handful of insurgent attacks around the country killed two dozen people, but Iraqi security forces seemed generally confident; the vehicle ban in Baghdad, scheduled to last all day, was lifted before noon. Anecdotal reports suggest a strong turnout across the country.

Iraqi Elections

Campaigning stops, voting starts; scattered violence in Baghdad, Mosul

Iraqi policemen show their ink-stained fingers after voting outside a polling station in Najaf, 100 miles south of Baghdad. (Photo: Reuters)
Iraq's campaign season wrapped up today, 48 hours ahead of the election, as soldiers and medical personnel voted early. Hundreds of thousands of soldiers and police will be on duty Sunday for the general election, when millions of Iraqis will vote at some 10,00 polling centers around the country (and abroad).