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Default in the Desert

Dubai World, creditors reach restructuring deal

Dubai World and its largest creditors have agreed in principle to a deal to restructure the Emirati company's $23.5 billion in debt.

The deal would reduce Dubai World's debts to $14.4 billion, divided into two tranches. The first, worth $4.4 billion, would be repaid over five years with 1 percent interest; the second would have an eight-year maturity.

Lenders would receive a mix of both tranches, and they'll be allowed to choose from several interest rate options for the second tranche, which offer varying degrees of protection against a complete Dubai World bankruptcy (in exchange for a lower payout).

Details of the agreement are posted on Dubai World's web site. It's similar to the general terms announced in March.

The deal is between Dubai World and the "coordinating committee" of its creditors; firms on the committee hold about 60 percent of the company's debts.

Default in the Desert

Dubai and creditors exchange blows

When Dubai World, the huge emirate-owned investment company, announced a plan to restructure some $26 billion in debt on Wednesday, markets welcomed the news.

Now, less than a week later, disagreements between Dubai World and some of its 97 creditor banks are becoming public. A handful of banks on the committee that's coordinating Dubai World's debt restructuring are angry that other creditors look set to receive preferential repayment.

Default in the Desert

Dubai World meets its creditors, privately

Representatives from nearly 100 banks met with executives from Dubai World to discuss a restructuring plan for the troubled company's $26 billion in debt -- but the five-hour meeting ended without any public announcements.

The talks were led by bankers from Dubai World's senior creditors, which include HSBC, Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds, and other international firms. Media reports say the banks will asked to accept either slow repayment terms or substantial losses -- perhaps up to 40 percent of their debts. In exchange, the Dubai government would guarantee Dubai World's debt.

The emirate already announced this week that it will use a financial support fund to help Dubai World pay off short-term loans.

Dubai World's 97 creditors need to reach an agreement in the next few weeks. In November, the company asked its creditors for a six-month delay on payments; that term will expire this spring.

In other bad news for the firm, DP World -- a major operator of international ports -- said its year-over-year profits fell by 46 percent, largely due to slow international shipping. Dubai World owns a majority stake in DP World.

Default in the Desert

Opacity in the Gulf; who benefited from Dubai bailout?

As Gregg noted earlier today, the cash-strapped Dubai investment authority known as Dubai World has received a $10 billion indirect bailout from Abu Dhabi, a fellow emirate of Dubai's and the capital of the United Arab Emirates. The Abu Dhabi bailout will go to the general Dubai Financial Support Fund, which aids struggling emirate companies, but Dubai World will receive a large chunk.

The announcement sparked a rally in shares of bonds issued by Nakheel, a real estate arm of Dubai World, which owed a $3.52 billion Islamic bond today and had seemed unable to pay the full amount as of days ago. Such a dramatic turn has market watchers chattering: the Financial Times' Alphaville blog notes that anyone who bought shares of the once-depressed Nakheel 2009 bond (or its sister bond due in 2011) has "made several large sacks of money."

Back in November, Abu Dhabi participated in a bond sale to help Dubai raise debt, but only for $5 billion, of which only $1 billion was remitted immediately. So what changed since then, and who stood to gain?

Default in the Desert

Dubai gets a last-minute bailout

Abu Dhabi announced a $10 billion bailout today for its cash-strapped neighbor; the last-minute capital infusion allows Dubai World to pay a $3.5 billion Islamic bond that came due today.

The money will first be transferred to the Dubai Financial Support Fund, which supports struggling companies in the emirate, according to a statement released by the Dubai government. The first $3.5 billion will pay off the bond issue.

The remaining funds would also provide for interest expenses and company working capital through April 30, 2010 - conditioned on the company being successful in negotiating a standstill as previously announced.

The $10 billion will also be used to pay Dubai World's contractors, many of whom have long complained that they haven't been paid for their services.

Default in the Desert

The 'Abu Dhabi put' and some Nakheel notes

I'm sure the Majlis is quite tardy to this party, but since we're just getting into the Gulf-financial-reporting game here, I thought I'd let the readers know that we've now discovered the National's Current Account blog, edited by Wayne Arnold. Undoubtedly a useful resources in the months to come.

Arnold blogged yesterday (and wrote in his column) that Dubai, and by extension the other emirates in the UAE, should not be expected to bail out Dubai World. Aside from the moral hazard argument, which we in the United States seem to have set aside for now, Arnold argues that an emirate-to-emirate-owned-corporation bailout just doesn't have any logic to it:

Some news articles on the situation have even suggested that Abu Dhabi would offer help directly to [Dubai World real estate arm] Nakheel, which demonstrates an extraordinary misunderstanding of the relationship of Nakheel to its parent, Dubai World, and between one emirate and another. This would be akin to, say, Germany moving to buy GM with state funds in order to prevent layoffs at Opel.

Default in the Desert

Concerns about the Palm Jumeirah sinking

As a follow-up to Evan's Dubai post, I saw this headline in The National and thought it was a metaphor for Dubai World's sinking financial condition. But no: Apparently there's some concern that the Palm Jumeirah, the manmade island in the Persian Gulf, is physically sinking.

Nakheel -- the developer, and a subsidiary of Dubai World -- insists those concerns are unfounded; the company says the island won't sink more than 25mm over the next century. Still, not exactly the kind of PR the company needs right now, eh?

Default in the Desert

Dubai stock index falls to new low

Keeping tabs on that nasty little debt situation in the Persian Gulf, the Wall Street Journal reports that the Dubai Financial Market's benchmark index dropped 6.4 percent today to 1533.36, its lowest close since March 19. The index has dropped 27 percent since Nov. 25, when Dubai World, the state-owned investment company, asked creditors for a six-month delay on interest payments. (Gregg wrote a brief primer on Dubai World last week.)

Investors are now watching Nakheel, a real-estate development unit of Dubai World that has a $3.52 billion Islamic bond maturing next week. Today, Nakheel posted a $3.66 billion first-half loss and reported that revenue had fallen 78 percent because of a slump in Dubai's property market, according to the WSJ.

Default in the Desert

Sovereign debts and 5-star hotels

As you surely heard over the weekend, Dubai World -- the emirate's state-owned investment company -- has asked its creditors for a six-month delay on its interest payments. The announcement sparked panic in global markets: Dubai's stock exchange dropped 7.3 percent yesterday; Egypt's, 8 percent; Abu Dhabi's, more than 8 percent. U.S. and U.K. markets plummeted on Friday as well.

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