David Sanger - Tag Search

Department of Troubled Analogies

Narratives and surges, ctd.

Spencer Ackerman thinks David Sanger's Iraq-surge-vs.-Afghanistan-surge piece, which I panned earlier this morning, is useful -- particularly this paragraph:

Both surges aimed to knock back an insurgency that had gained territory and caused high casualties, and to buy time and space to train local forces for combat. "Neither one of these surges," said one officer involved in both decisions, "was born to exploit success. They were designed to reverse momentum."

"That's an overlooked point and a useful, precise concept," Spencer writes. But is it, really? Sanger says nothing about the reasons why the insurgency is ascendant, or why U.S. strategy isn't working, or about the success of training foreign forces, or about the insurgency's sources of funding, or its ideology... he simply says that both surges aimed to deal with strong and growing insurgencies.

That's a similarity, to be sure, but I don't see how it informs strategy, or how it suggests that an Iraq-style escalation is the best course of action for Afghanistan.

Department of Troubled Analogies

Narratives and surges

David Sanger has a piece in the New York Times today, headlined "Similarities to Iraq Surge Plan Mask Risks in Afghanistan," which is truly one of the dumbest pieces of "analysis" I've ever read. His argument is that the Obama administration might have been fooled by the "striking" similarities between the Iraq surge and the Afghanistan surge -- and thus overlooked the key differences between the two. What are the similarities, you ask?

Nuclear Negotiations

Details emerge on the Iranian counter-offer

Wondering what's in Iran's formal response to the IAEA's draft proposal, which it submitted to the agency this morning? So is the U.S. State Department!

"We need to hear a formal response from Iran," spokesman Ian Kelly said, hours after the International Atomic Energy Agency said it had received a response from Tehran without giving any details of its contents.

The IAEA, in other words, has been quite tight-lipped about the Iranian response. IAEA director Mohamed ElBaradei did describe it as an "initial response," suggesting that the Iranians are looking for further negotiations.

Secret Centrifuges

Questionable intelligence

David Sanger and Bill Broad have a front-page story in today's New York Times that is attracting a lot of attention. Their story claims that the IAEA believes Iran has "sufficient information to be able to design and produce a workable" nuclear weapon.

The story is based on an internal IAEA report, the so-called "classified annex" we've been hearing about for months. The Institute for Science and International Security obtained the relevant excerpts from the IAEA report and posted them online (pdf).

Huthis release 178 prisoners, allow police in Saada

Another drone strike near Datta Khel

80 wounded, 100 arrested in East Jerusalem riots

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Fallout from Biden's visit: West Bank sealed off; proximity talks appear stalled

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas greets U.S. vice president Joe Biden in Ramallah. (Photo: AFP)
As Joe Biden wraps up his Middle East tour, Palestinian officials say they're unwilling to move forward with proximity talks unless Israel cancels its new construction in East Jerusalem; and the Israeli Defense Forces have sealed off the West Bank for 48 hours, reportedly for security concerns. Several people were injured and arrested in fighting at the Al-Aqsa mosque this morning.

Peace Processing

Biden arrives in Israel amid serious Palestinian doubts

Vice President Joe Biden and his wife arrived in Israel on Monday.
As Joe Biden lands in Israel, the Israeli government -- obviously keen to demonstrate that it's serious about restarting peace talks -- announced Monday that it will violate its West Bank settlement freeze and build 112 new homes in Beitar Illit, a settlement west of Bethlehem.

Iraqi Elections

Polls close in Iraq; media reports suggest strong turnout, relative calm

An Iraqi man on a bicycle displays his ink-stained finger after voting in Baghdad on March 7, 2010. (Photo: AP)
A handful of insurgent attacks around the country killed two dozen people, but Iraqi security forces seemed generally confident; the vehicle ban in Baghdad, scheduled to last all day, was lifted before noon. Anecdotal reports suggest a strong turnout across the country.