Bernard Kouchner - Tag Search

Nuclear Negotiations

Analysis: Political theater in Tehran

The Iranian regime's announcement that it plans to build ten new uranium enrichment plants prompted a surprised reaction from the West. French foreign minister Bernard Kouchner described it as "very dangerous"; Russian officials say they're "seriously concerned" with the announcement.

That was clearly the goal: As Julian Borger wrote this morning in The Guardian, Iran doesn't actually have the capacity to build those plants. The Christian Science Monitor quotes one expert who says the plan, announced yesterday by Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, will take decades. It will also be hugely expensive; Iran, already facing massive budget deficits, can ill afford to spend billions more on uranium enrichment.

So the regime's threat, for now, is an empty one, an act of political theater intended to provoke a reaction.

A New Afghan Strategy

Headlines that worry me

From AFP: "Iraq surge could be model for Afghan war: US admiral."

I'm sure you're all sick of hearing me explain why the surge is not yet a success story (most recently here) and why it's a faulty model for Afghanistan, so I won't repeat myself.

Monday morning roundup

Iran's foreign minister, Manouchehr Mottaki, says his country may ship at least part of its uranium stockpile to Russia for further enrichment.

That would mean the Iranian government is willing to at least partially accept the draft IAEA deal announced last week. But Mottaki said Iran will also continue to enrich its own uranium. The IAEA deal is designed to buy time for further negotiations by temporarily taking away Iran's capacity to enrich uranium.

French foreign minister Bernard Kouchner said as much today during an interview with the Daily Telegraph. Kouchner said Israel "will not accept" an Iranian bomb, and said the IAEA deal is designed to head off a potential Israeli attack.

Kouchner uneasy about Iran gas embargo

I'm glad to see French foreign minister Bernard Kouchner talking sense on the proposed embargo on Iranian gas imports.

"I think this is a bit dangerous," Mr. Kouchner said in an interview here, where he is attending the United Nations General Assembly. A blockade would harm the Iranian people, he said, "and mainly poor people."

"This is a choice; we have to study it also," he said. "But it is not my personal favorite at all."

The embargo idea is still taken seriously in D.C.'s foreign policy community -- it was endorsed just yesterday in an op-ed in the Washington Post. But I haven't talked to a single actual Iran expert who thinks it would influence the regime's behavior. In the short term, it would increase fuel prices and hurt Iran's poor; in the long term, it would impel Iran to build more refineries and achieve self-sufficiency.

Good sourcing

Ha'aretz reports that an Israeli radio station said a Lebanese newspaper interviewed Lebanese diplomats who told it that the French foreign minister told them that U.S. officials told him that they told Israel to freeze settlement construction within six months.

Story like that's gotta be true.

EU's Stevenson alleges further voter fraud in Baghdad

Jumblatt to Assad: I'm sorry!

Petraeus: Israeli-Arab conflict endangering U.S. interests

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Fallout from Biden's visit: West Bank sealed off; proximity talks appear stalled

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas greets U.S. vice president Joe Biden in Ramallah. (Photo: AFP)
As Joe Biden wraps up his Middle East tour, Palestinian officials say they're unwilling to move forward with proximity talks unless Israel cancels its new construction in East Jerusalem; and the Israeli Defense Forces have sealed off the West Bank for 48 hours, reportedly for security concerns. Several people were injured and arrested in fighting at the Al-Aqsa mosque this morning.

Peace Processing

Biden arrives in Israel amid serious Palestinian doubts

Vice President Joe Biden and his wife arrived in Israel on Monday.
As Joe Biden lands in Israel, the Israeli government -- obviously keen to demonstrate that it's serious about restarting peace talks -- announced Monday that it will violate its West Bank settlement freeze and build 112 new homes in Beitar Illit, a settlement west of Bethlehem.

Iraqi Elections

Polls close in Iraq; media reports suggest strong turnout, relative calm

An Iraqi man on a bicycle displays his ink-stained finger after voting in Baghdad on March 7, 2010. (Photo: AP)
A handful of insurgent attacks around the country killed two dozen people, but Iraqi security forces seemed generally confident; the vehicle ban in Baghdad, scheduled to last all day, was lifted before noon. Anecdotal reports suggest a strong turnout across the country.