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Yemen's Insurgency

Yemen releases hundreds of Houthi prisoners

Another waypoint on the ceasefire between the Houthi rebels of the government of Yemen (via the National):

Yemen's plan to release nearly 300 al Houthi rebels and southern separatists is moving forward, a Yemeni security official said yesterday, in line with a promise the president made last week.

Yemen's Insurgency

More images from Sa'ada's Operation Scorched Earth

(Updated, fixed my sloppy and incorrect translation) The Independent published another batch of Amnesty International's photos from Sa'ada province in northern Yemen. The images show widespread destruction: Shattered homes, the skeletal remains of schools and power plants, rubble strewn everywhere.

Several show angry graffiti scrawled on the walls of damaged buildings. In this one, for example, the Arabic graffiti reads "This is the destruction made by American and Saudi Arabian planes."

One point worth emphasizing: In these images of the last war, you see the possible seeds of the next war. The Huthi conflict has evolved a lot over the last six years, and it would be reductive to say it's fueled by local grievances; the underlying issue is really Zaidi fear of growing Wahhabi influence.

But underdevelopment and poor government services in Sa'ada certainly create resentment towards Sana'a. The government flattened much of the province during the latest phase of the war; if it doesn't make a serious effort to rebuild, public anger will flare up again.

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula

Pack up the car, we're moving to Mogadishu!

Omar Osman, the treasury minister from Somalia's Transitional Federal Government, says a dozen senior figures from Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula have crossed from Yemen into Somalia over the last two weeks.

This story has been bubbling up through the Saudi and Yemeni press for a few days -- the Saudi newspaper Okaz reported it on Monday (عربي), for example, claiming that the AQAP leadership left Yemen via the eastern port city of Mukalla. The Saudi Gazette reported the same thing in English.

The Southern Movement

Sana'a court sentences southern separatists

Two leading members of Yemen's southern separatist movement were sentenced to lengthy jail sentences yesterday by a court in Sana'a.

Hussein Muthanna al-Akil, a professor at Aden University, was sentenced to three years; Fadi Hassan Ba'oum, the son of a senior separatist leader, was sentenced to five years. Ba'oum's sentence is longer because he's charged (عربي) with "inciting sectarian division," not just supporting the separatist movement.

Friends of Yemen

Yemen to world: We still need $44 billion

The international community continues to be very good at promising money to Yemen, and not very good at actually delivering those funds.

Yemen's deputy minister for planning, Hisham Sharaf Abdullah, represented the country this week (عربي) at the inaugural Friends of Yemen conference in Abu Dhabi. Abdullah told reporters that his government needs $44 billion for development work over the next five years.

Yemen's Southern Movement

Saleh offers southerners carrots and sticks

Earlier this week, Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh extended an offer of negotiation to southern separatists who have grown increasingly strident about their grievances with Sana'a, but he also sounded a warning.

"I am certain the flags of separation will burn in the days and weeks ahead," Saleh said.

With thousands gathering across southern Yemen to protest today, Saleh got his chance to demonstrate the hard side of the government's carrot-and-stick approach.

Washington in Sana'a

Feltman: Southern separatists "an internal issue"

Jeffrey Feltman, the U.S. undersecretary of state for Near Eastern Affairs, is in Yemen this week meeting with officials from the Yemeni government. Feltman delivered a letter from President Obama to Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh. The text of the letter isn't public, but it reportedly pledged continued financial and military aid for the Saleh government.

The Riyadh Conference

Saleh to GCC: We just need $44 billion

The Riyadh conference on Yemen wrapped up this morning with lots of promises and well-meaning speeches -- but very few firm commitments. And the conference was quickly overshadowed, inside Yemen and around the region, by the deteriorating situation in southern Yemen, where the government has declared a state of emergency.

The Yemeni government presented several papers in Riyadh (عربي) outlining how it will use the roughly $44 billion in foreign aid it hopes to receive over the next five years. One of them outlines how Yemen's government will distribute aid; another talks about Yemen's grim long-term socioeconomic picture (rapidly growing population, dwindling oil reserves, a depleted water table).

Saleh asks the GCC for a little help

Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh is in Riyadh today pleading for money meeting with his Saudi counterpart to discuss issues of regional importance.

Saleh's visit is a precursor to the "Riyadh conference" on Saturday, which will involve Yemen, the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council, and U.S. and European representatives. Yemen is hoping to raise a lot of money from international donors -- on the order of $40 billion over the next five years, according to one diplomat -- and Saleh hopes much of that will come from the GCC.

Yemen's Insurgency

Saleh announces cease-fire with Huthis

Following up on this morning's post: Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh has announced a cease-fire with the Huthi rebels. Saleh read a decree announcing the truce on state television; it takes effect at midnight Yemen time (2100 GMT).

The state-run Al-Thawra has more details (عربي) on Saleh's decree. It's similar to the proposals that were reported this morning -- the "six conditions," several parliamentary committees to monitor their implementation, etc. 

The big question now, of course, is whether it will hold. The north has not been quiet for long: AFP reported fighting late last night (عربي) in Amran province, which is due south of Saada province; 12 Yemeni soldiers and 24 rebels were reportedly killed following a surprise attack by the Huthis. And the last cease-fire, announced in September, collapsed after about 24 hours.

Yemen's Insurgency

Yemen, Huthi rebels move closer to a truce

I tweeted yesterday about some new reports of an imminent cease-fire between the Yemeni government and the Huthi rebels.

Those reports have multiplied in the last 24 hours or so: Wire services report that both sides exchanged proposals this week, and Al-Jazeera's Hashem Ahelbarra says an envoy from Sana'a is meeting today with Abdel Malik al-Huthi, the rebel leader.

Yemen's Insurgency

Saada governor: Huthis don't really want a cease-fire

Hard to tell, as usual, exactly what's happening up in Saada province, but Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh is signalling -- in word and in deed -- that he's not terribly interested in a cease-fire with the Huthi rebels.

16 rebels were killed in Saada earlier this week, according to state media reports; the dead reportedly included a number of "leaders," but the government hasn't identified any of them. The army says it also destroyed a vehicle carrying ammunition to the rebels (عربي), and seized several farms which were being used as rebel hideouts.

Yemen's Insurgency

Saada fighting kills 20 in 24 hours

At least 20 people have been killed in Saada province in fighting between the Huthi rebels and the Yemeni army over the last 24 hours. Saudi Arabia says it is no longer receiving fire from "Huthi snipers" -- a mildly encouraging sign for the Huthi-Saudi cease-fire -- but the Yemeni army is still fighting heavily.

Yemen's Insurgency

Saleh rejects Huthi cease-fire offer

Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh is moving the goalposts.

Saleh rejected the proposed cease-fire from the Huthi rebels, according to Yemen's state-run SABA news service (عربي). Abdul Malik al-Huthi, the rebel leader, agreed to the five cease-fire conditions previously established by Saleh's government -- but now Saleh says there is a sixth: The rebels must return Saudi Arabian hostages and vow not to attack Saudi territory.

Yemen's Insurgency

A Yemeni-Huthi cease-fire? Not so fast

Abdul Malik al-Huthi, the leader of the rebels, says he's willing to abide by the five conditions for a cease-fire established by the Yemeni government.

But don't get excited. This is, by my (unofficial) count, either the third or fourth time the Huthis have made such an offer. It's the second in just four weeks: The Huthis said on Jan. 4 that they were willing to immediately launch a dialogue with the government.

Obviously none of those prior offers have led to a cease-fire. And this one seems destined for the same fate: There's no evidence the rebels coordinated with the Yemeni government, and a one-sided offer to restart talks doesn't mean much. Huthi's offer also depends on the Yemeni army halting its operations; that seems unlikely, since we're still seeing near-daily reports of army operations in Saada province.

The five conditions, by the way, are the removal of all roadblocks; the surrender of remote mountain bases in Saada; a withdrawal from local government buildings; the return of all seized military equipment; and the release of all kidnapped civilians and captured soldiers.

Washington in Sana'a

A new counterterrorism fund for Yemen?

(Updated below) The U.S. Defense Department is considering a counterterrorism fund (عربي) for Yemen, modeled off a similar fund for Pakistan.

The Pakistani fund, known as the Coalition Support Fund, reimburses the Pakistani government for its support of U.S. counterterrorism activities. The U.S. has provided about $7.6 billion under the CSF since 2002. Yemen's fund would be similar: The army and security services would receive annual payments for operations against al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.

Yemen's Insurgency

Huthi rebels announce cease-fire with Saudi Arabia

Abdul Malik al-Huthi, the leader of Yemen's Huthi rebels, has reportedly announced a cease-fire with Saudi Arabia, according to the Saudi-owned Al-Arabiya (عربي).

The rebels reportedly agreed to stop fighting the Saudi army, and to withdraw completely from Saudi territory. The army and the Huthis have traded control of a number of villages and border regions in recent months, particularly around the area of Jebel Dokhan.

Washington in Sana'a

HRW: Don't support repression in Yemen

Update: Here's a link to the memo on HRW's Web site.

Original post: I'm not sure if it's available online yet, but Human Rights Watch sent us an advance copy (pdf) of a new memo, Seven Principles for Effective International Engagement in Yemen, which they're releasing ahead of next week's London conference on Yemen. We're posting it here as a PDF file.

The memo covers everything from development aid to the importance of closing Guantanamo Bay, but the most important section -- from my perspective -- deals with the human rights abuses committed by the Yemeni government in its conflicts with Huthi rebels in the north and separatists in the south.

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula

Yemeni FM: Can't confirm Rimi, Shebwani were killed

(Updated below) Yemen's foreign minister, Abu Bakr al-Qirbi, admitted yesterday that his government can't provide any proof that last week's airstrike killed Qasim al-Rimi, al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula's military commander. Qirbi said the strike was carried out in a remote part of Yemen that is difficult for the army or police to access.

Washington in Sana'a

Yemeni clerics warn against U.S. invasion

A group of 150 Yemeni scholars and clerics signed a statement calling for jihad (عربي) in the event of a U.S. invasion of their country (The Guardian says only 15 signatories, which I suspect is a typo).

B'Tselem: Settlements occupy 42 percent of West Bank

Ben-Eliezer makes "secret trip" to Turkey: Israeli TV

CENTCOM talking sense on Hamas and Hizballah

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Talking about direct talks: Netanyahu returns to the White House

Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivering a statement in Jerusalem on July 1, 2010. (Photo: AFP)
US president Barack Obama will use a White House meeting with Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to push for an extended West Bank settlement freeze. If Netanyahu doesn't offer one - and the domestic politics are quite difficult for him - it's hard to see any possibility of direct talks with the Palestinian Authority later this year.

The Afghan Surge

Obama's southern strategy

Gen. David Petraeus testifying on Capitol Hill. (Photo: Reuters)
The president's decision to nominate Gen. David Petraeus as the commander of US and NATO forces in Afghanistan won't mean a major change in strategy. But there are mounting reasons for pessimism about current policy, particularly the relentless focus on southern Afghanistan. The deployment of tens of thousands of additional troops to Kandahar and Helmand serves few NATO objectives.

Freedom Flotilla Killings

Anticlimax: How much did the flotilla raid really change regional politics?

A demonstration in London against the Israeli attack on the Gaza-bound flotilla. (Photo: AFP)
It has accelerated Israel's isolation from several of its neighbors and allies; it has sharpened divisions within Turkish domestic politics; it has deepened perceptions that the Obama administration as too close to Israel. And it seems to have had a remarkably minor impact on Palestinian domestic politics.