Reconciliation in Iraq

Abu Risha and the threat of sectarianism

Marc Santora has a good article in the New York Times looking at the ongoing U.S. drawdown in Anbar province. He connects it to this morning's gruesome executions in the Abu Ghraib neighborhood west of Baghdad. And he interviews Ahmed Abu Risha, a key Sunni Awakening leader in Anbar, who says the simmering insurgency in the province isn't trying to reignite sectarian fighting.

"They want to attack for two main reasons," he said. "They target the police because the police have achieved a victory over them. And the second major reason is because they want to keep investors out."

I'll buy the premise that the insurgency lacks a coherent strategy. Al-Qaeda in Mesopotamia is motivated by a desire for revenge, and also by opportunity: Police officers are outside driving patrols and manning checkpoints, so they present easy targets.

There are also local political tensions in Anbar province fueling the insurgency: One of the victims today, remember, was an official from the Iraqi Islamic Party.

But I question the usefulness of Abu Risha's assessment. I'm not sure "sectarian warfare" was ever an explicit goal of the Iraqi insurgency; it was more a follow-on effect of that insurgency's tactics, and a manifestation of deeper political tensions. Sunni insurgents didn't necessarily targets Shi'ites because they were Shi'ites, but because Shi'ites wielded power in the new Iraq. That led to reprisal attacks on Sunnis, and the "cycle of violence" began.

Maybe the Anbar insurgency isn't trying to restart sectarian warfare. That doesn't mean it won't happen.

2 Comments

Gregg,

I think you're only half right here. Nationalist Sunni insurgents tended to see Shia as a threat because they had assumed power (at the expense of the Sunnis) in Iraq. But, Al Qa'ida in Iraq and other jihadist entities did in fact attack Shia because they of their sect, not position in Iraq. Remember Zarqawi getting rebuked by AQ Central for espousing his desire to start a civil war? And it was exactly those high-profile attacks against Shia civilians and symbols (like the assassination of Muhammad Baqir al-Hakim, numerous attacks against Ashura pilgrims, and of course the 2006 attack on the Askari mosque) that led to the cycle of sectarian violence escalating.

You are correct. But islamic world is being misleaded.There are lot of misconceptions about islam

Post a Comment

Abu Risha, al-Tai'e threaten election boycotts

Ahmed Abu Risha, a prominent sheikh in Anbar province and a key figure in the Sunni Awakening movement, is threatening to call for a Sunni boycott in the March parliamentary election. So is another tribal leader in southern Iraq.

Vigilante justice in Anbar province

A pattern of killings is driving some marginal members of Al-Qaeda in Iraq (and affiliated groups) to rejoin the Sunni insurgency. It might be increasing the recidivism rate among released detainees.

Huthis release 178 prisoners, allow police in Saada

Another drone strike near Datta Khel

80 wounded, 100 arrested in East Jerusalem riots

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Fallout from Biden's visit: West Bank sealed off; proximity talks appear stalled

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas greets U.S. vice president Joe Biden in Ramallah. (Photo: AFP)
As Joe Biden wraps up his Middle East tour, Palestinian officials say they're unwilling to move forward with proximity talks unless Israel cancels its new construction in East Jerusalem; and the Israeli Defense Forces have sealed off the West Bank for 48 hours, reportedly for security concerns. Several people were injured and arrested in fighting at the Al-Aqsa mosque this morning.

Peace Processing

Biden arrives in Israel amid serious Palestinian doubts

Vice President Joe Biden and his wife arrived in Israel on Monday.
As Joe Biden lands in Israel, the Israeli government -- obviously keen to demonstrate that it's serious about restarting peace talks -- announced Monday that it will violate its West Bank settlement freeze and build 112 new homes in Beitar Illit, a settlement west of Bethlehem.

Iraqi Elections

Polls close in Iraq; media reports suggest strong turnout, relative calm

An Iraqi man on a bicycle displays his ink-stained finger after voting in Baghdad on March 7, 2010. (Photo: AP)
A handful of insurgent attacks around the country killed two dozen people, but Iraqi security forces seemed generally confident; the vehicle ban in Baghdad, scheduled to last all day, was lifted before noon. Anecdotal reports suggest a strong turnout across the country.