Peace Processing

Erekat: Let's make it official

A Palestinian flag painted on the wall of a ruined building in the Dheisheh refugee camp in the West Bank. (Photo: Gregg Carlstrom)

Saeb Erekat, the chief negotiator for the Palestinian Authority, has an interview (عربي) in the Palestinian newspaper Al-Ayyam in which he says the PA might ask the United Nations Security Council to formally recognize a Palestinian state along 1967 borders.

Here's my rough translation of what Erekat told the paper:

The Palestinian leadership is mobilizing support for the idea to go the U.N. Security Council. It would achieve the international recognition of a Palestinian state, along 1967 borders, with East Jerusalem as its capital...

Erekat said he had discussed the idea more than once with the Americans, as well as the Europeans, U.N. secretary-general Ban Ki-moon, and officials in Russia... he said he received a positive response, and that [Mahmoud] Abbas will pitch the idea to Latin American countries on his trip there later this week.

Erekat goes on to connect this proposal to the issue of Israeli settlements. The settlements are already illegal under any reasonable interpretation of international law, but Israel insists that they are simply "disputed." If the U.N. recognizes a Palestinian state, though, Israel will really have no choice but to stop building new settlements.

I've never heard Palestinian officials endorse this approach. I've heard it from American scholars and policymakers, and from Israelis -- Gilead Sher in September, for example -- but never Palestinians. It seems to be a recognition that Benjamin Netanyahu will not voluntarily agree to a meaningful settlement freeze.

Erekat said there's "unprecedented" Arab agreement on this proposal, but there's no timetable for when it might be presented to the Security Council.

Al-Sharq Al-Awsat, meanwhile, carries an anonymously-sourced report (عربي) that the U.S. is backing away from pushing for direct Israeli-Palestinian talks.

"We don't want to push in the direction of peace talks before both parties are ready to do so," said one unnamed official source.

This was just a matter of time, really, because both sides have preconditions for direct talks -- a settlement freeze for the Palestinians, and a lack of preconditions for the Israelis -- that the other is not willing to meet.

Dropping the PLC?

Over in the Israeli papers, Yedioth Ahronoth has an interesting -- if dubiously-sourced -- story that the Palestinian Authority is trying to squeeze Hamas out of the government.

PA sources told Ynet that according to the plan in formation, the role of Legislative Council, which has served as the parliament since the establishment of the PA and is currently ruled by Hamas, will be usurped by the Palestinian Liberation Organization's Central Council, which will become the supreme Palestinian legislative body. Hamas is not a member of the PLO, and it will have no foothold in the council.

The report says Mahmoud Abbas would remain as PLO head, and also serve as acting Palestinian president, since the election scheduled for January has been postponed.

This is an anonymously-sourced Israeli report about Palestinian politics, so take it with a dose of skepticism. If it's true, though, it's hard to see how it's a net positive for the idea of a Palestinian state. It might help the "peace process": Israel is more likely to negotiate with the Palestinian government if Hamas is not part of that government. But it would also deepen the divisions between Gaza and the West Bank and make reconciliation even more difficult.

Other headlines from Israel: A Qassam rocket fired from Gaza landed in the Negev desert, causing no injuries or damage; and Avigdor Lieberman's foreign ministry is apparently no longer interested in Palestine, Syria, or helping Israelis abroad. (Earlier coverage of Lieberman's agenda is here.)

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But as for the first part I don't think there's any possibility the US will allow whatever the PA proposes regarding statehood to pass through the Security Council without Israeli backing. From the al ayyam article:
وكشف عريقات النقاب عن أنه تحدث مع الاميركيين حول الموضوع وقال: لقد تحدثت مع الاميركيين أكثر من مرة حول هذا الموضوع ونستمر في حديثنا مع الاميركيين حوله.
Not exactly a ringing endorsement of American support for the idea.

I am completely in favor of Palestinians declaring an independent Palestine without Israeli approval but don't think for second that Israel would stop settlement construction (even if mandated by the UN Security Council, which it never will) or dismantle checkpoints or allow Palestinians sovereignty over their airspace or do anything really to change the current status quo except perhaps to make it worse.

But I have a question for you. What would be the Israeli response to a unilateral Palestinian declaration of statehood? I have an idea of what it wouldn't do, but what would the actual response be? Invade the West Bank? Physically dismantle what's left of the PA? What have you seen about that in your readings?

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Erekat: About that statehood thing? Just kidding.

Saeb Erekat told the Jerusalem Post today that the Palestinian Authority is not, in fact, planning to unilaterally declare a Palestinian state.

57% of Israelis support talking with Hamas, sort of

Saeb Erekat told AFP today that the Palestinian Authority will definitely ask the U.N. Security Council to recognize an independent Palestinian state.

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