Secret IAEA report: Iran has physics textbooks

For about a month I've been mocking the idea of a "classified annex" to the IAEA report on Iran. Israel and the U.S. insist that the report, allegedly suppressed by IAEA director Mohamed ElBaradei, contains critical information about Iran's nuclear program.

Well, the AP apparently got a copy of this "classified annex." And guess what? It's still worthy of derision.

The AP report is already the top story on the Jerusalem Post's homepage (probably because it gave them an excuse to trot out that photo of Ahmadinejad at Natanz). Same with Ha'aretz. I suspect it will make the U.S. media soon, too.

But if you actually read the AP's report, there's frankly not much to it. This is the key paragraph (emphasis mine):

The document says Iran has sufficient information to build a bomb. It says Iran is likely to overcome problems on developing a delivery system.

Read that again. Iran has the information to build a nuke? So do most college physics students. The theory behind it is not that complicated. That's a far cry from saying Iran has the capability to make one, let alone make one that fits on a missile, as Steve Hynd points out.

Nor am I moved by the assertion that Iran is "likely to overcome problems" with delivering a nuclear weapon. Any organization in the world, particularly a well-funded government program, could overcome those problems given enough time. The report doesn't say how long it will take, just that it will eventually happen.

Maybe there's more to the report and the AP just hasn't quoted it yet. But I'm not impressed by what I've seen.

I do have one question, though: Who leaked this report to the AP, just days after the U.S. agreed to talks with Iran -- and on a day when the Obama administration is already on the defensive over its national security policies?

1 Comment

Thanks for the link, Gregg. I've just updated my post. Reuters actually asked the IAEA about this "secret annex" report, something the AP apparently didn't in its haste to publish. Guess what - the IAEA denied the annex was anything new being more a simple list of alleged evidence they couldn't prove one way or another.

Here's the Reuters piece:
http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSTRE58G60W20090917

Regards, Steve

Post a Comment

Thin gruel

A Ha'aretz story alleges that the IAEA is suppressing information about Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program. But there's less here than meets the eye.

AP: Iran "fails to accept" nukes offer

The AP is reporting that Iran's government 'failed to accept' the IAEA's draft proposal on uranium enrichment.

B'Tselem: Settlements occupy 42 percent of West Bank

Ben-Eliezer makes "secret trip" to Turkey: Israeli TV

CENTCOM talking sense on Hamas and Hizballah

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Talking about direct talks: Netanyahu returns to the White House

Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivering a statement in Jerusalem on July 1, 2010. (Photo: AFP)
US president Barack Obama will use a White House meeting with Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to push for an extended West Bank settlement freeze. If Netanyahu doesn't offer one - and the domestic politics are quite difficult for him - it's hard to see any possibility of direct talks with the Palestinian Authority later this year.

The Afghan Surge

Obama's southern strategy

Gen. David Petraeus testifying on Capitol Hill. (Photo: Reuters)
The president's decision to nominate Gen. David Petraeus as the commander of US and NATO forces in Afghanistan won't mean a major change in strategy. But there are mounting reasons for pessimism about current policy, particularly the relentless focus on southern Afghanistan. The deployment of tens of thousands of additional troops to Kandahar and Helmand serves few NATO objectives.

Freedom Flotilla Killings

Anticlimax: How much did the flotilla raid really change regional politics?

A demonstration in London against the Israeli attack on the Gaza-bound flotilla. (Photo: AFP)
It has accelerated Israel's isolation from several of its neighbors and allies; it has sharpened divisions within Turkish domestic politics; it has deepened perceptions that the Obama administration as too close to Israel. And it seems to have had a remarkably minor impact on Palestinian domestic politics.