Secret IAEA report: Iran has physics textbooks

For about a month I've been mocking the idea of a "classified annex" to the IAEA report on Iran. Israel and the U.S. insist that the report, allegedly suppressed by IAEA director Mohamed ElBaradei, contains critical information about Iran's nuclear program.

Well, the AP apparently got a copy of this "classified annex." And guess what? It's still worthy of derision.

The AP report is already the top story on the Jerusalem Post's homepage (probably because it gave them an excuse to trot out that photo of Ahmadinejad at Natanz). Same with Ha'aretz. I suspect it will make the U.S. media soon, too.

But if you actually read the AP's report, there's frankly not much to it. This is the key paragraph (emphasis mine):

The document says Iran has sufficient information to build a bomb. It says Iran is likely to overcome problems on developing a delivery system.

Read that again. Iran has the information to build a nuke? So do most college physics students. The theory behind it is not that complicated. That's a far cry from saying Iran has the capability to make one, let alone make one that fits on a missile, as Steve Hynd points out.

Nor am I moved by the assertion that Iran is "likely to overcome problems" with delivering a nuclear weapon. Any organization in the world, particularly a well-funded government program, could overcome those problems given enough time. The report doesn't say how long it will take, just that it will eventually happen.

Maybe there's more to the report and the AP just hasn't quoted it yet. But I'm not impressed by what I've seen.

I do have one question, though: Who leaked this report to the AP, just days after the U.S. agreed to talks with Iran -- and on a day when the Obama administration is already on the defensive over its national security policies?

1 Comment

Thanks for the link, Gregg. I've just updated my post. Reuters actually asked the IAEA about this "secret annex" report, something the AP apparently didn't in its haste to publish. Guess what - the IAEA denied the annex was anything new being more a simple list of alleged evidence they couldn't prove one way or another.

Here's the Reuters piece:
http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSTRE58G60W20090917

Regards, Steve

Post a Comment

Thin gruel

A Ha'aretz story alleges that the IAEA is suppressing information about Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program. But there's less here than meets the eye.

ElBaradei says Qom facility illegal

IAEA director Mohamed ElBaradei says Iran's Qom facility violates international law.

Explosions in Kandahar leave dozens dead and wounded

Follow the latest Iraqi election results

IHEC: State of Law leads in four southern provinces

Al-Akhbar: Our weekly brief

Peace Processing

Fallout from Biden's visit: West Bank sealed off; proximity talks appear stalled

Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas greets U.S. vice president Joe Biden in Ramallah. (Photo: AFP)
As Joe Biden wraps up his Middle East tour, Palestinian officials say they're unwilling to move forward with proximity talks unless Israel cancels its new construction in East Jerusalem; and the Israeli Defense Forces have sealed off the West Bank for 48 hours, reportedly for security concerns. Several people were injured and arrested in fighting at the Al-Aqsa mosque this morning.

Peace Processing

Biden arrives in Israel amid serious Palestinian doubts

Vice President Joe Biden and his wife arrived in Israel on Monday.
As Joe Biden lands in Israel, the Israeli government -- obviously keen to demonstrate that it's serious about restarting peace talks -- announced Monday that it will violate its West Bank settlement freeze and build 112 new homes in Beitar Illit, a settlement west of Bethlehem.

Iraqi Elections

Polls close in Iraq; media reports suggest strong turnout, relative calm

An Iraqi man on a bicycle displays his ink-stained finger after voting in Baghdad on March 7, 2010. (Photo: AP)
A handful of insurgent attacks around the country killed two dozen people, but Iraqi security forces seemed generally confident; the vehicle ban in Baghdad, scheduled to last all day, was lifted before noon. Anecdotal reports suggest a strong turnout across the country.